Wall Street slightly mixed – trade talks to continue

The financial markets were slightly mixed in Wall Street on Friday. The US-China trade talks made  progress and president Donald Trump made a statement that the deal might be done by March 1st. Also the macrodata from US jobs lifted the markets.

Dow Jones -index ended up  0,26 % to 25063  points, the S&P 500 -index ended up 0,09 % to 2706 points and the Nasdaq-tech index ended down by 0,25 % to 7263 points for the week.

According to Xinhua News Agency, China agreed to buy more US goods, including agriculture products, but also the talks included some agreements about IP rights. The talks will continue in China for the next round in mid-February and the US-China Presidents´summit might take place before the March time according to Bloomberg. The Chinese markets will be closed during next week due to the New Year´s holidays.

In the UK, the Brexit situation with extending time period got new supporters. The UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond said that he excepts the delay of the exit-day if needed.

– If we do get the deal and we need a little bit more time to put all the legislation and so on in place then I’m sure everybody on both sides will take a reasonable approach to that,” Hammond said in an interview with ITV News according to Bloomberg.

The stocks in London ended up and FTSE 100 -index gained 0,69% to 3851 points. Also the markets in Germany and in France were positive and the CAC 40-index  ended up 0,51 % to 3911 points and the DAX-index 0,13 % to 11 180 points.

Oil gained nearly 3 % and a barrel was traded at 55,37 dollars. Energy sector was one of the leaders for the Friday trading.

Euro was trading quite firmly against dollar at 1,1456, up 0,07 %, but the UK sterling was down 0,23 % to 1,30 dollars.

Business Finance

Tesla: Q4 operating income stable – positive cash flow beyond Q1 2019

According to the Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk last year was the most pivotal year in Tesla’s history. Mr Musk commented the year in the shareholder letter conserning 2018 and Q4 figures.

– During our Model 3 production ramp, we went through significant challenges with the battery module line at Gigafactory 1 in Nevada, and later with our general
assembly line in Fremont. Thanks to the hard work and ingenuity of our
manufacturing teams, by mid-2018 we successfully overcame these
challenges and stabilized Model 3 production at high volumes, he said on Wednesday.

Tesla´s  Q4 figures:

– Q4 operating income stable compared to Q3 at $414M, operating margin of 5.7%
– Operating cash flow less capex improved from Q3 to $910M in Q4
– Cash and cash equivalents of $3.7B at Q4-end, increased by $718M in Q4
– Q4 GAAP net income of $139M impacted by $54M non-cash charge
– Model 3 GAAP and non-GAAP gross margin remained stable at >20% in Q4

Elon made his estimates of the Model 3 production this year and commented the production shift.

– Model 3’s production rate progressively improved through Q4, with December 2018 being our highest volume month ever. In our Fremont facility, we are now past the steep portion of the production S-curve, and we expect our production rate to continue to
gradually improve. Every part of the Model 3 production process has demonstrated over a 24-hour period the ability to produce at an extrapolated rate of 7,000 vehicles per week. By the end of this year, we expect to be able to produce Model 3 at this rate on a
sustained basis, he stated.

– In Q4, we delivered 27,607 Model S and Model X vehicles to customers. For the full year, we delivered 99,475 Model S and Model X vehicles, which was in line with our guidance. We recently stopped taking orders for the 75 kWh versions of Model S and Model X and
will focus on the longer-range versions of these flagship products instead, with the recent introduction of a 310 mile range base Model S and 270 mile range base Model X, he reminded.

– In total, we are expecting to deliver 360,000 to 400,000 vehicles in 2019, representing a growth of approximately 45% to 65% compared to 2018. In this range, we are expecting to have positive GAAP net income and to generate positive free cash flow
(operating cash flow less capex) in every quarter beyond Q1 2019. We believe these results will be substantially driven by our restructuring action and the ongoing financial discipline with which we are managing the business, Elon said.

– Our 2019 capex, the vast majority of which will be to grow our capacity and develop new vehicles, is expected to be about $2.5 billion. We believe this amount should be sufficient to continue to develop our main projects, such as Gigafactory Shanghai, Model Y and Tesla Semi, as well as for the further expansion of our Supercharger, service and retail networks. We expect to arrange financing through local banks in China to fund most of the capex for Gigafactory Shanghai, he said.

Tesla published its figures after the Wall Street trading, but the company shares closed higher to 302 dollars, up 3,80 %.

 

Business Tech

Brexit: No more time – new backstop?

After UK Brexit votes  this week, the situation with the UK- EU is still the same. No new news  – this means that solution is not ready yet. The UK Parliament agreed that the deal could be done if the Irish border issue, the backstop, would have a new approach. What that would be, is still unclear and the EU has said  on Wednesday that there would be no new agreements.

The UK Parliament voted that no new timeline was given, which means that the March 29th exit-day is still valid. Prime Minister Theresa May was granted a mandate to negotiate with the EU collaques about the Irish border issue. According to news agencies, she is not travelling to Brussels this week any more.

The UK Parliament is having the Brexit-vote on Valentine´s Day, the February 14th and according to Bloomberg, some EU diplomats are expecting to have the EU summit about the Brexit on the March 21-22.

The financial markets have seen increasing prices in spite of the turbulence in this Brexit-matter. For example in London the FTSE 100 -index ended up 1,58 % to 6941 points, but also the Wall Street increased to new level due to the news that the Federal Reserve will be “patient” with the future interest-rates moves. The Feds Funds Rate is now at 2,25 – 2,50 percent and the Fed is still having the 2 percent inflation target.

Dow Jones was up 1,61 % to 24976 points, the S&P 500-index was up 1,51 % to 2679 points and technology-index Nasdaq was up 2,01 % to 7169 points.

The US-China tradetalks are having a new chapter when the Chinese economic advisor, Vice Premier Liu He is meeting with the US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin today and tomorrow.

In Asia, the stockmarkets were mixed while the HangSeng increased by 0,40 % to 27642 points and the Nikkei-index in Tokio decreased by 0,52 % to 20 556 points.

 

 

 

Business Finance

Brexit: Series of votes next week in the UK Parliament

The UK Parliament is having series of Brexit votes during next week.  There are different Brexit-options the MPs are voting, like to postpone the Brexit-exit, having no-deal Brexit or making no-Brexit deal impossible. Prime Minister Theresa May has said that she is against extending or making no-deal impossible.

The final Brexit exit-deadline, the March 29, is quite near and business leaders are unsure how the decision-process will continue and what would be the outcome. The Bank of England has warned about different kind of economic disruptions of no-deal Brexit.

According to Bloomberg, these companies have made their decisions to leave the UK or transfer part of the businesses outside the UK: AIG (Luxembourg), Admiral Group (Madrid), CME Group (Amsterdam), Cboe Global Markets (Amsterdam), Chubb (France), JP Morgan (Frankfurt), Liberty (Luxembourg), Pantheon (Dublin) and RSA (Luxembourg).

In the financial markets the big issues like the US-China trade talks are still in the process, but one of the US Goverment issues, the shutdowns will be ended by the Fed 15th.

During one month period, the Dow Jones -index has gained over 7 %, S&P 500 -index over 7 % and Nasdaq 8,8 %. In London the FT-SE 100-index has gained 1 %, while in Paris the index has gone up by over 5 % and in Frankfurt nearly 7 %. In Asia, the Tokio Nikkei index has gained 3,7 % and in Hong Kong the Hang Seng index 8,10 % during the period.

 

Business Finance

Luxury watchmaker Patek Philippe for sale?

 

According to Bloomberg news, the Swiss luxury watchmaker Patek Philippe may be for sale. This 180 year old luxury watch company is valued between 7-9 billion euros by market analysts and it is one of the last biggest independent brands.

Patek Philippe is owned by Stern family and it is one of the innovative brands in the industry still. In 1845 the company patented the keyless winding and hand-setting system. In 1916 Patek Philippe made the first ladies´wristwatch with a five-minute repeater. In 2018 the company introduced the twenty-4 collection for ladies.

The company CEO Thierry Stern said in the Financial Times interview in 2013 that  they aim to keep the production at 50.000 pieces a year in order to keep the quality in the watches. The company headquarter is in Geneva, Switzerland.

Business Lifestyle

Stocks up in Wall Street – Brexit talks continued

Stocks ended up in Wall Street on Friday. All the three major indices gained over 1 % because of the Bloomberg news that China has agreed to buy US goods by a value of 1 trillion dollars in order to reduce the US trade surplus to zero by 2024. Last year the trade surplus was 323 billion dollars.

Dow Jones – index gained 1,38 % and ended to 24706 points, S&P 500 -index gained 1,32 % and ended to 2670 points and Nasdaq 1,03 % to 7157 points. On Monday the markets will be closed due to Martin Luther King Jr holiday.

In London the Brexit talks continued and PM Theresa May had talks with EU-leaders and she met also other members of her Cabinet. According to Bloomberg she will have to present a new plan on Monday in the Parliament. The House of Commons will vote on different Brexit plans on January 29th. The stock markets ended up in London City and FT 100 -index gained 1,95 % to 6968 points.

In Germany the DAX index ended up 2,63 % to 11205 points and in France the CAC 40-index 1,70 %  to 4875 points.

In Asia the Nikkei-index ended up 1,24 % to 20666 points and in Hong Kong the Hang Seng index ended up 1,25 % to 27090 points.

Euro was trading 0,21 % down to 1,136 dollars. The UK sterling was down 0,85 % to 1,28 dollars.

Business Finance