Brexit: Defeat today in the UK – markets mixed

New Brexit-defeat was today in the UK Parliament, when the MPs voted by 303-258 to reject the UK Goverment´s motion. This means that the Parliament has voted no to the Goverment´s plan to renegotiate the Irish border backstop.

The UK is planning to leave the EU on the 29th March 2019 and the next EU leaders summit will be on the 21st March. It was planned that UK PM Theresa May would  have tried to renegotiate the Irish Border issue with the EU collaques before the EU Summit. According to Prime Minister´s office, the target is still the same, to get a new agreement regarding the backstop.

In the City of London, the FTSE- index was quite stable and gained 0,09% to 7197 points. In Germany, the DAX-index declined by 0,69 % to 11 089 points and in France the CAC40 -index lost 0,23 % to 5062 points.

In Wall Street the financial markets were mixed, while the Dow Jones as down 0,13 % to 25511 points and S&P 500 -index -0,09 % to 2750 points. The Nasdaq was up 0,24 % to 7438 points.

In Asia the stocks ended by 0,23 % decline in HongKong and HangSeng- index was 28 432 points. In Tokyo the Nikkei-index ended down 0,02 % to 21139 points.

According to Bloomberg, the US President Donald Trump is ready to sign a compromise spending legislation that would avoid goverment shutdown and on the other hand would get funding for a border wall. The US-China trade talks are going “very well” and goverment spokesman said that the US President is considering delaying the possible tariffs by 60 days to get the deal done.

The trade negotiations have been led by the US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and his Chinese collaque Vice Premier Liu He.

Business Finance

Brexit: More time for negotiations – vote option by Feb 27th

The UK Prime Minister Theresa May will be offering a second vote for the Parliament Members regarding the Brexit-deal. The idea of this is that next week the Parliament will have the voting on Thursday, the 14th of February and a second time by the 27th Feb, if needed.

The idea is to give more time for the UK Goverment to have negotiations with the EU about the Irish border issue. If the UK-EU negotiations will not have any new outcome, the MPs will have the second vote by the end of February.

The possibility of no-Brexit deal has increased  the unease and uncertainty in corporate side and raised concerns over the economic growth in the UK. This is also the situation in the US, while some of the US listed companies have filed notices to the markets of the possible uncertainty and future risks.

According to Financial Times, for example defence company Lockheed Martin, food company McCormick and travel company Expedia have expressed their increased risks concerns to investors over longer-term business operations related to no-deal Brexit.

Lockheed Martin, which filed the annual 10K document to the SEC, said that the company´s business is highly sensitive to changes in regulations, political environments and security risks that could affect the company ability to conduct business outside the US.

– We continue to evaluate the potential effect of the United Kingdom’s (UK) planned departure from the European Union (EU) on our business operations and financial results.  We anticipate that the most probable near-term effects are likely to reflect the pressure Brexit is placing on the UK government, which may influence the government’s ability to make decisions on large complex programs of the type we perform. Brexit may also have adverse tax effects on movement of products or sustainment activities between the UK and EU. Additionally, Brexit may impact the value of the pound sterling. If the pound sterling were to remain depressed against the U.S. dollar, this could negatively impact the ability of the UK government to afford our products, the company said.

– Currently, we do not anticipate that Brexit will have a material impact on our operations or our financial results, Lockheed Martin stated in the document, which was filed on the 8th February.

Business Finance

Wall Street slightly mixed – trade talks to continue

The financial markets were slightly mixed in Wall Street on Friday. The US-China trade talks made  progress and president Donald Trump made a statement that the deal might be done by March 1st. Also the macrodata from US jobs lifted the markets.

Dow Jones -index ended up  0,26 % to 25063  points, the S&P 500 -index ended up 0,09 % to 2706 points and the Nasdaq-tech index ended down by 0,25 % to 7263 points for the week.

According to Xinhua News Agency, China agreed to buy more US goods, including agriculture products, but also the talks included some agreements about IP rights. The talks will continue in China for the next round in mid-February and the US-China Presidents´summit might take place before the March time according to Bloomberg. The Chinese markets will be closed during next week due to the New Year´s holidays.

In the UK, the Brexit situation with extending time period got new supporters. The UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond said that he excepts the delay of the exit-day if needed.

– If we do get the deal and we need a little bit more time to put all the legislation and so on in place then I’m sure everybody on both sides will take a reasonable approach to that,” Hammond said in an interview with ITV News according to Bloomberg.

The stocks in London ended up and FTSE 100 -index gained 0,69% to 3851 points. Also the markets in Germany and in France were positive and the CAC 40-index  ended up 0,51 % to 3911 points and the DAX-index 0,13 % to 11 180 points.

Oil gained nearly 3 % and a barrel was traded at 55,37 dollars. Energy sector was one of the leaders for the Friday trading.

Euro was trading quite firmly against dollar at 1,1456, up 0,07 %, but the UK sterling was down 0,23 % to 1,30 dollars.

Business Finance

Brexit: No more time – new backstop?

After UK Brexit votes  this week, the situation with the UK- EU is still the same. No new news  – this means that solution is not ready yet. The UK Parliament agreed that the deal could be done if the Irish border issue, the backstop, would have a new approach. What that would be, is still unclear and the EU has said  on Wednesday that there would be no new agreements.

The UK Parliament voted that no new timeline was given, which means that the March 29th exit-day is still valid. Prime Minister Theresa May was granted a mandate to negotiate with the EU collaques about the Irish border issue. According to news agencies, she is not travelling to Brussels this week any more.

The UK Parliament is having the Brexit-vote on Valentine´s Day, the February 14th and according to Bloomberg, some EU diplomats are expecting to have the EU summit about the Brexit on the March 21-22.

The financial markets have seen increasing prices in spite of the turbulence in this Brexit-matter. For example in London the FTSE 100 -index ended up 1,58 % to 6941 points, but also the Wall Street increased to new level due to the news that the Federal Reserve will be “patient” with the future interest-rates moves. The Feds Funds Rate is now at 2,25 – 2,50 percent and the Fed is still having the 2 percent inflation target.

Dow Jones was up 1,61 % to 24976 points, the S&P 500-index was up 1,51 % to 2679 points and technology-index Nasdaq was up 2,01 % to 7169 points.

The US-China tradetalks are having a new chapter when the Chinese economic advisor, Vice Premier Liu He is meeting with the US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin today and tomorrow.

In Asia, the stockmarkets were mixed while the HangSeng increased by 0,40 % to 27642 points and the Nikkei-index in Tokio decreased by 0,52 % to 20 556 points.

 

 

 

Business Finance

Brexit: Series of votes next week in the UK Parliament

The UK Parliament is having series of Brexit votes during next week.  There are different Brexit-options the MPs are voting, like to postpone the Brexit-exit, having no-deal Brexit or making no-Brexit deal impossible. Prime Minister Theresa May has said that she is against extending or making no-deal impossible.

The final Brexit exit-deadline, the March 29, is quite near and business leaders are unsure how the decision-process will continue and what would be the outcome. The Bank of England has warned about different kind of economic disruptions of no-deal Brexit.

According to Bloomberg, these companies have made their decisions to leave the UK or transfer part of the businesses outside the UK: AIG (Luxembourg), Admiral Group (Madrid), CME Group (Amsterdam), Cboe Global Markets (Amsterdam), Chubb (France), JP Morgan (Frankfurt), Liberty (Luxembourg), Pantheon (Dublin) and RSA (Luxembourg).

In the financial markets the big issues like the US-China trade talks are still in the process, but one of the US Goverment issues, the shutdowns will be ended by the Fed 15th.

During one month period, the Dow Jones -index has gained over 7 %, S&P 500 -index over 7 % and Nasdaq 8,8 %. In London the FT-SE 100-index has gained 1 %, while in Paris the index has gone up by over 5 % and in Frankfurt nearly 7 %. In Asia, the Tokio Nikkei index has gained 3,7 % and in Hong Kong the Hang Seng index 8,10 % during the period.

 

Business Finance

Stocks up in Wall Street – Brexit talks continued

Stocks ended up in Wall Street on Friday. All the three major indices gained over 1 % because of the Bloomberg news that China has agreed to buy US goods by a value of 1 trillion dollars in order to reduce the US trade surplus to zero by 2024. Last year the trade surplus was 323 billion dollars.

Dow Jones – index gained 1,38 % and ended to 24706 points, S&P 500 -index gained 1,32 % and ended to 2670 points and Nasdaq 1,03 % to 7157 points. On Monday the markets will be closed due to Martin Luther King Jr holiday.

In London the Brexit talks continued and PM Theresa May had talks with EU-leaders and she met also other members of her Cabinet. According to Bloomberg she will have to present a new plan on Monday in the Parliament. The House of Commons will vote on different Brexit plans on January 29th. The stock markets ended up in London City and FT 100 -index gained 1,95 % to 6968 points.

In Germany the DAX index ended up 2,63 % to 11205 points and in France the CAC 40-index 1,70 %  to 4875 points.

In Asia the Nikkei-index ended up 1,24 % to 20666 points and in Hong Kong the Hang Seng index ended up 1,25 % to 27090 points.

Euro was trading 0,21 % down to 1,136 dollars. The UK sterling was down 0,85 % to 1,28 dollars.

Business Finance

Stocks to one-month high – Goldman up

The US stock markets continued their upward trend and the shareindexes reached one-month high during Wednesday trading. Two big financial companies, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America, both exceeded their earnings estimates.

Goldman Sachs reported its full year and fourth quarter earnings and according to the report, the group´s net revenues were 36,62 billion dollars and net earnings 10,46 billion dollars for the whole year 2018. The company shares jumped and lifted also Dow Jones- index and the banking sector as well.

-We are pleased with our performance for the year, achieving stronger top and bottom line results despite a challenging backdrop for our market-making businesses in the second half. For the year, we delivered double-digit revenue growth,
the highest earnings per share in the firm’s history and the strongest return on equity since 2009. We are confident that we are well positioned to support an even larger universe of clients, continue to diversify our revenue mix and deliver
strong returns for our shareholders in the years ahead, David Salomon, the CEO and Chairman of the Group said.

Dow Jones index ended up 0,90 % to 24 282 points, S&P 500 -index 0,41 % to 2623 points and Nasdaq ended up 0,39 % to 7051 points.

In London, where the UK Goverment won the confidence vote, FTSE ended down 0,47 % to 6862 points. The voting started at 7 pm local time. In Germany the DAX-index ended up 0,36 % to 10 931 points and in France the CAC-index ended up 0,51 % to 4810 points.

In Asia the Nikkei-index traded down 0,55 % to 20 442 points, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng index ended up 0,27 % to 26 902 points.

 

Business Finance