Brexit: What next – stocks closed up

The yesterday announcement by the UK Prime Minister Theresa May that she will step down from the Party leader position on June 7 has left some questions how to proceed after this? Mrs May, who is highly respected by her counterparts, will stay as Prime Minister until the new leader is chosen- maybe in July.

The UK decision was not a surprise for the EU leaders. In fact, they were asking swift process in order to avoid possible bottlenecks between the countries business and economic transition process. For example the French President Emmanuel Macron said that he would like more clarification about the situation while “EU cannot remain indefinitely uncertain on Brexit”. According to him, France is ready to work with the new British Prime Minister on all issues.

The German chancellor’s Angela Merkel´s spokesperson said that Germany is ready to continue the work with Prime Minister Theresa May’s successor for an “orderly exit”.

And several other EU leaders have had same kind of message as well. They want to conclude the work and the agreement agreed with the EU and Mrs May. The message is still the same: the legal text of the withdrawal agreement will not be open.

This case has also raised the possibility of the no-deal Brexit after the Mrs May decision to leave. This is a major concern for the British Industry and the City as well. The Bank of England has made also several economic estimates which show that the no-deal Brexit would be catastrophic for the UK economy and for example housing prises.

The UK and EU have extended the Brexit deadline for several times and now the deadline is at the end of October, 31st. So, the UK Parliament has this timeframe in order to decide how to proceed. There is not that much time left, while it is assumed that the new UK Prime Minister might start his/her duties July/August time. As Prime Minister Theresa May said in her speech on Friday, the new leader will have to find a compromise in the Parliament in oder to get on with the Brexit.

On the other hand, it might also be possible, that the new Party leader is not willing to make a deal, so the no-deal Brexit might increase its appearance. According to Bloomberg News, two-thirds of Conservative members want a no-deal Brexit.

But the Labour Party in the UK Parliament is against no-deal scenario, which makes this approach uncertain. And the third option is also a new referendum or general elections, which would have to be before the end of October.

Now, in the middle of EU elections, the UK Conservative party is expected to face losses and this might have also its impact for the future of the UK and the Brexit process. The results of the EU elections are to be published on Sunday evening.

The UK stock markets closed Friday slightly up and the FTSE 100 -index ended +0,65 % to 7277 points. During one year time, the yield has been -1,68%. The pound was at 1,27 US-dollars, up 0,45 % on Friday. During a five year period the pound has fallen from the 1,7 US-dollars levels.

Business Finance

Mnuchin: US close to resolve steel tariffs – WSJ

According to US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, the US is close to an understanding with resolving the steel and aluminium tariffs with Mexico and Canada.

Wall Street Journal also reported that according to Mnuchin the US negotiators are likely to travel to Beijing soon to continue the negotiations with China. The goal is to have “free and fair trade” policy with China.

According to Bloomberg, the US President Donald Trump is considering to delay the auto tariffs up to six months in order to avoid the time overlaps with the EU and Japan. The auto industry is vital for the US trade balance, while it is estimated that the half of the US trade deficit comes from automotive.

Business Finance

New York Times – Microplastics also in the air

Microplastics can be found also in the air. According to the New York Times, French researchers have found thousands and thousands of microplastic particles raining down in the Pyreneers. Microplastics, which are source of the water and ocean pollution, may also travel by air.

According to the article 11.400 pieces of microplastic per square meter per month, on average was the research outcome. Researchers, lead by Deonie Allen, called them invisible atmospheric pollutants. According to the study a lot of microplastic pollution comes from cities, landfills and farms that have sprayed with wastewater treatment sludge.

Some countries, including Britain, have banned the use of microplastic or microbeads  for example in cosmetics in order to avoid the pollution inflow to rivers and seas.

The European Chemical Agency, Echa, has proposed EU-wide restrictions by 2020 on using deliberately added microplastics in products like cosmetics, paints, coatings, fertiliser granules and medical devices in order to reduce plastic waste.

According to the estimate  about 70.000 -200.000 tonnes of added microplastics end up in the environment each year.

Business Research and Insights

Brexit: New votes tonight in the Parliament

The UK Parliament is about to vote of the new indicative votes tonight. It has been speculated in the UK Media, that there will be softer Brexit tonight.

On the other hand, there might also be a second referendum or general elections. The UK is now leaving the EU on the 12th April if no new agreement or Brexit deal is agreed. The results of the votes are expected to be ready around 10 GMT tonight.

Business Finance

Brexit: UK to ask deadline extension

Today´s news from the UK Goverment confirm, that the PM Theresa May´s Cabinet is asking the European Union for an extension of the Brexit deadline.  The preliminary timetable was that the UK would leave the EU next week on Friday the 29th March.

Tomorrow  on Thrusday, the European leaders are having a meeting to discuss about the Brexit situation. It is expected that the delay for the Article 50 would be a short one in order to avoid the EU elections.

The stock markets were having a negative sentiment today and for example the German Dax-index was down 0,88 % to 11685 points, the France CAC 40 -index was down 0,09 % to 5420 points. In London the FTSE index was down 0,04 % to 4012 points.

Euro was trading down 0,06 % to 1,134 dollars and the UK sterling was down 0,27 % to 1,323 dollars. The dollar was up 0,17 % to 111,58 yens and euro was up 0,24 % to 0,8577 pounds.

Business Finance

Brexit: Delay and new vote next week in UK

After intense discussions and voting in the UK Parliament today, the MPs decided to delay the Brexit-deal. This means that the delay can be a short or a longer one. The next voting time is planned for the next week.

According to May´s proposal if the MPs agree the Brexit before the March 20th, the request for a delay would be a shorter one. And if it takes more time, the longer the Brexit delay. Any delay in the Brexit-deal need also that all 27 EU memberstates agree it as well.

The UK Parliament also voted 334-85 against the second referendum on EU membership.

Business Finance

Brexit: Defeat today in the UK – markets mixed

New Brexit-defeat was today in the UK Parliament, when the MPs voted by 303-258 to reject the UK Goverment´s motion. This means that the Parliament has voted no to the Goverment´s plan to renegotiate the Irish border backstop.

The UK is planning to leave the EU on the 29th March 2019 and the next EU leaders summit will be on the 21st March. It was planned that UK PM Theresa May would  have tried to renegotiate the Irish Border issue with the EU collaques before the EU Summit. According to Prime Minister´s office, the target is still the same, to get a new agreement regarding the backstop.

In the City of London, the FTSE- index was quite stable and gained 0,09% to 7197 points. In Germany, the DAX-index declined by 0,69 % to 11 089 points and in France the CAC40 -index lost 0,23 % to 5062 points.

In Wall Street the financial markets were mixed, while the Dow Jones as down 0,13 % to 25511 points and S&P 500 -index -0,09 % to 2750 points. The Nasdaq was up 0,24 % to 7438 points.

In Asia the stocks ended by 0,23 % decline in HongKong and HangSeng- index was 28 432 points. In Tokyo the Nikkei-index ended down 0,02 % to 21139 points.

According to Bloomberg, the US President Donald Trump is ready to sign a compromise spending legislation that would avoid goverment shutdown and on the other hand would get funding for a border wall. The US-China trade talks are going “very well” and goverment spokesman said that the US President is considering delaying the possible tariffs by 60 days to get the deal done.

The trade negotiations have been led by the US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and his Chinese collaque Vice Premier Liu He.

Business Finance