Brexit: UK Goverment accepted citizen rights – Merkel and Macron in Paris

The UK Goverment has accepted the citizen rights in the Brexit depate in the Parliament today evening. According to Reuters, UK will turn to European Union to try to secure citizen´s rights if there will be no-deal Brexit.

“I’m happy to confirm … that we will write to the EU institutions and that this will be done in the coming days,” Brexit minister Stephen Barclay said according to Reuters.

The question of delaying the Brexit has got support from Germany and France. The German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the French President Emmanuel Macron commented the Brexit-situation in Paris today.

Both countries would give more time if needed, but the message from President Macron was that there need to be choices taken in order to extend the timeframe.

The German and France leaders were having trade talks in Paris and the countries agreed to present  Bryssels a new industrialstrategy with China. They also talked about the EU army, which the countries have different approaches at the moment.

The German Chancellor Angela Merkel pointed out, that the EU countries must have a clear and unite exports strategy regarding the army products, while at the moment they have different views for example regarding Saudi Arabia.

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China´s Xi Jinping: Focus on stable development

Chinese President Xi Jinping said that the country need to focus on stable economic and financial development according to news agency Xinhua on Saturday.

– It is necessary to focus on preventing risks on the basis of steady growth, while strengthening the countercyclical adjustment of fiscal policy and monetary policy and ensuring that the ecnomomy operates in a reasonable range, Xi said.

According to President Xi, preventing and resolving financial risks, especially systemic financial risks, is a fundamental task, the Xinhua reported.

One of the biggest issues lately has also been the US China trade talks. According to Reuters, the country negotiators met also on Saturday to reach the agreement and trying to prevent the escalation of the trade tariffs.

According to US President Donald Trump and US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin the countries have reached an understanding of the currency issues. The US have argued long time that China´s yuan is undervalued and thus giving trade advantage and partly offsetting the US tariffs. No more information was given about the currency agreement.

It is expected that the President Xi Jinping and Donald Trump would meet next time in March in Florida.

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Stocks ended up – positive trade talks

Financial markets ended up for the week in Wall Street. Dow Jones index was up 1,74 % to 25883 points, S&P 500 -index 1,09 % to 2775 points and Nasdaq-index 0,61 % to 7472 points.

For the Friday trading, the positive outlook for the US-China trade talks help lifted the markets as well as the good US consumer outlook. On the other hand, the national emergency regarding the financing of the border wall between US-Mexico did not have any bigger impact.

In Europe the Brexit-discussion continued and according to Bloomberg News, the Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney had said that the EU will offer a package to help the UK PM Theresa May to get the deal but would not accept “unreasonable British demands”. In the industry, the car manufacturer Porsche (PAH3) said that it is possible that a hard Brexit might lift the UK car prices by 10 %. The Brexit talks will continue next week.

In London, the FTSE index was up 0,55 % to 7236 points and in Germany the DAX-index was up 1,99% to 11299 points and in France ended up 1,79 % to 5153 points. During one month, the Dax has gained 3,75 % , CAC 5,69 % and FTSE 3,85%.

In Asia, the Nikkei-index was down 1,13 % to 20900 points and in HongKong the HangSeng index was also down 1,87% to 27900 points.

In the forex markets, the euro was trading quite flat at 1,129 dollars, but the UK sterling was up 0,67% to 1,288 dollars.

The Stock Exchanges will be closed on Monday in the US due to the President´s Day.

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Brexit: Defeat today in the UK – markets mixed

New Brexit-defeat was today in the UK Parliament, when the MPs voted by 303-258 to reject the UK Goverment´s motion. This means that the Parliament has voted no to the Goverment´s plan to renegotiate the Irish border backstop.

The UK is planning to leave the EU on the 29th March 2019 and the next EU leaders summit will be on the 21st March. It was planned that UK PM Theresa May would  have tried to renegotiate the Irish Border issue with the EU collaques before the EU Summit. According to Prime Minister´s office, the target is still the same, to get a new agreement regarding the backstop.

In the City of London, the FTSE- index was quite stable and gained 0,09% to 7197 points. In Germany, the DAX-index declined by 0,69 % to 11 089 points and in France the CAC40 -index lost 0,23 % to 5062 points.

In Wall Street the financial markets were mixed, while the Dow Jones as down 0,13 % to 25511 points and S&P 500 -index -0,09 % to 2750 points. The Nasdaq was up 0,24 % to 7438 points.

In Asia the stocks ended by 0,23 % decline in HongKong and HangSeng- index was 28 432 points. In Tokyo the Nikkei-index ended down 0,02 % to 21139 points.

According to Bloomberg, the US President Donald Trump is ready to sign a compromise spending legislation that would avoid goverment shutdown and on the other hand would get funding for a border wall. The US-China trade talks are going “very well” and goverment spokesman said that the US President is considering delaying the possible tariffs by 60 days to get the deal done.

The trade negotiations have been led by the US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and his Chinese collaque Vice Premier Liu He.

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Wall Street slightly mixed – trade talks to continue

The financial markets were slightly mixed in Wall Street on Friday. The US-China trade talks made  progress and president Donald Trump made a statement that the deal might be done by March 1st. Also the macrodata from US jobs lifted the markets.

Dow Jones -index ended up  0,26 % to 25063  points, the S&P 500 -index ended up 0,09 % to 2706 points and the Nasdaq-tech index ended down by 0,25 % to 7263 points for the week.

According to Xinhua News Agency, China agreed to buy more US goods, including agriculture products, but also the talks included some agreements about IP rights. The talks will continue in China for the next round in mid-February and the US-China Presidents´summit might take place before the March time according to Bloomberg. The Chinese markets will be closed during next week due to the New Year´s holidays.

In the UK, the Brexit situation with extending time period got new supporters. The UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond said that he excepts the delay of the exit-day if needed.

– If we do get the deal and we need a little bit more time to put all the legislation and so on in place then I’m sure everybody on both sides will take a reasonable approach to that,” Hammond said in an interview with ITV News according to Bloomberg.

The stocks in London ended up and FTSE 100 -index gained 0,69% to 3851 points. Also the markets in Germany and in France were positive and the CAC 40-index  ended up 0,51 % to 3911 points and the DAX-index 0,13 % to 11 180 points.

Oil gained nearly 3 % and a barrel was traded at 55,37 dollars. Energy sector was one of the leaders for the Friday trading.

Euro was trading quite firmly against dollar at 1,1456, up 0,07 %, but the UK sterling was down 0,23 % to 1,30 dollars.

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Stocks up in Wall Street – Brexit talks continued

Stocks ended up in Wall Street on Friday. All the three major indices gained over 1 % because of the Bloomberg news that China has agreed to buy US goods by a value of 1 trillion dollars in order to reduce the US trade surplus to zero by 2024. Last year the trade surplus was 323 billion dollars.

Dow Jones – index gained 1,38 % and ended to 24706 points, S&P 500 -index gained 1,32 % and ended to 2670 points and Nasdaq 1,03 % to 7157 points. On Monday the markets will be closed due to Martin Luther King Jr holiday.

In London the Brexit talks continued and PM Theresa May had talks with EU-leaders and she met also other members of her Cabinet. According to Bloomberg she will have to present a new plan on Monday in the Parliament. The House of Commons will vote on different Brexit plans on January 29th. The stock markets ended up in London City and FT 100 -index gained 1,95 % to 6968 points.

In Germany the DAX index ended up 2,63 % to 11205 points and in France the CAC 40-index 1,70 %  to 4875 points.

In Asia the Nikkei-index ended up 1,24 % to 20666 points and in Hong Kong the Hang Seng index ended up 1,25 % to 27090 points.

Euro was trading 0,21 % down to 1,136 dollars. The UK sterling was down 0,85 % to 1,28 dollars.

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Apple: Revenue will be lower due to China (updated)

The US mobile phone manufacturer Apple (AAPL) has lowered its forecast for the fiscal-first quarter revenue outlook due to the China market. Apple says that it expects the revenue to be 84 billion dollars in the quarter. According to Bloomberg estimates, the revenue expectation was 91,3 billion dollars in average.

– While we anticipated some challenges in key emerging markets, we did not foresee the magnitude of the economic deceleration, particularly in Greater China. In fact, most of our revenue shortfall to our guidance, and over 100 percent of our year-over-year worldwide revenue decline, occurred in Greater China across iPhone, Mac and iPad, Apple´s CEO Tim Cook said in an investor letter on Wednesday.

According to Cook, the other figures “remain broadly in line with our earlier estimates”. He also pointed out, that the revenue stream outside of the iPhone grew almost 19 % year-on-year. For example Wearables grew almost 50 % on annual basis. Also the services generated over 10,8 billion dollars during the quarter and according to Cook the company is on track to achieve its goal of doubling the size of this business from 2016 to 2020.

In spite of the cutting forecast, Cook expects to set all-time revenue records in several developed countries, including the United States, Canada, Germany, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and Korea. – And, while we saw challenges in some emerging markets, others set records, including Mexico, Poland, Malaysia and Vietnam, he added.

Apple´s stock fell in after-hours trading about 7 % to 147 dollars.  Apple is to publish its final first fiscal quarter, ended 29th December 2018,  on the 29th January 2019.

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